Phần trăm khả năng mà đối thủ của bạn sẽ fold dựa trên hiểu biết của bạn về đối thủ. Game dynamics changes the fold equity relative to the ratio of big blinds risked. Closing It Out. and analyzed by Doug in the private Upswing Lab group: Online Cash 6-Handed. Some online poker sites like PokerStars and 888poker also offer solver tools. Solid smug guy 3bets $25 from HJ. The 10 of them buy into a tournament and. UTG folds, UTG+1 to 3-4x BB. It is also applied frequently in tournament poker as the variations in. Fold equity refers to the probability of getting an opponent to fold. We show the formula for finding the required fold equity for +EV when hero bets and villain either calls or folds. This is because you will be pot committed by a regular raise and a shove generates fold equity - that is, it means you will win the pot more than you would if you saw all five cards. The action went L,L,L $20, Call. [1] What is Fold Equity? Fold equity is the probability that a player will fold versus a bet or raise. 6591 x -$154 = -$101. The blinds are 150/300. Those hands the BTN folds have a chance of winning, which means they lose equity when they fold to BB. If you find yourself in a situation where your opponent probably isn’t folding no matter what, you have no. BB’s MDF says they defend 75% of their range, and fold, at most, 25% vs this sizing. Klein's hand is super vulnerable. e. For example, if you have a hand like bottom pair on the flop, getting your opponent to fold two overcards is a good result, as that hand has a good chance of beating ours if we check back. Para calcular el EV de una subida de farol en el flop tenemos que examinar nuestra fold equity. BOOM! Keeping his best poker face to not reveal any tells of his complete and utter confusion the SB quickly runs the calculation again, from. Calling this bet requires contributing $100 to a final pot of $300, so you would need $100/$300 = 33% equity. Here’s an overview of the process. Fold Equity = Chance of your opponent folding x your hand equity. For example, if he limp-folds a decent amount, you can loosen your requirements for iso-raising since you have added fold equity preflop, which allows you to profit with a wider range of hands. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. In a nutshell, though, it is the likelihood that your opponent will fold to your bet. 65 * -$500) = $350 – $325 = $25. Ship tens all day and be thrilled with it. Position on the Table: Positional advantage gives. 2. For example, if you go all-in preflop with Pocket Aces and another player calls with Pocket Kings, there is. In other words, there is a very good chance they are the best hand right now. . It is the added equity you gain when you believe that there is a possibility of your opponent folding his hand. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. The Resteal Zone. In this same manner, poker bluffing and/or semi-bluffing can be profitable in certain instances: the additional equity a player gains in a hand by using fold equity. Equity on the Flop = 9 outs x 4. Inevitably, opponents would have folded hands with better raw equity. Fold Equity = 對手蓋牌的機率 x 當對手蓋牌你的 equity 增加. Just to clarify, we aren't looking at calling off with pocket pairs and suited aces, having some fold equity is key to making your bluff a profitable move as we will see later. ซึ่งการที่เราจะใช้บลัฟล้วนๆ (Pure Bluff) ให้ได้กำไรจะอาศัยจาก Fold Equity เพียงอย่างเดียว เพราะเราไม่เหลือโอกาสชนะจากไพ่ของเราแล้ว(Hand Equity. On the other hand, is your chance of winning when you showdown your hand. Pose a question. Your Hand: 3♦ 4♦. What Does Fold Equity Mean? The profitability of any bet is determined by combining your calculated fold equity with your pot equity (the percentage likelihood of winning the pot with your hand at that moment. Backdoor Equity: Backdoor is a term used in poker when players need two more cards to make a hand. Business, Economics, and Finance. you could always choose a more conservative route if you know your opponents are always super tight, and don't want to play AK if you know it will go multi ways. In Summary. Two cards are then dealt face down to the players and the dealer. The air is heavy with cigar smoke and whiskey. Try it for free at solutions • Practice GTO • Analyze hand history Timecod. The effective stack, or how much you are shoving. The BTN has room to call and still fold some hands to a BB shove, but even that comes at a cost. You will generate a lot more fold equity if you are the first person to enter the pot - if you shove over a raise or even a limp you are more likely to be called. Things like fold equity and maybe even game flow (if useful for exploitation) emerge naturally from deep learning Like I said, making a balanced poker bot is straightforward. The current pot size. 51%, the player must fold. How much fold equity do I need? I can win at showdown 10% at best. But to the big stack the difference. You are also going to get 4-bet a bunch of times, and all of these hands should fold to a 4-bet. "Just sit down and do your. Solvers often fold hands with more than enough raw equity and call hands without sufficient equity. For example, suppose the turn is very bad for your range to the point that you only want to bet your very strongest hands. If a player folds to 3-bets a standard amount or higher, say 55% and up, tend to polarize your 3-bets. However, real equity is easy to calculate and doesn’t change. This is an issue of equity, health, and justice. For more on equity realization, check out our article Equity Realization - Playing from the Big Blind. Fold equity is the equity that you gain that based on the probability that your opposition will fold to your bet (or raise) which will win you the pot. If you’re playing at a 9-handed table, you should fold it from the two earliest positions (UTG and UTG+1 in the graphic below). R/Poker is currently…Open menu Open navigation Go to Reddit Home. For example, if we hold three out of five flush cards with the turn and the river remaining. How to Play Middle Set on A♦ 8♠️ 6♠️ K♠️ for $15,747 (PLO Analysis) $25/$50 Pot Limit Omaha is a BIG game. We Cbet $160. If the Button was a weak player who would fold too often against 3-bets, this could be a reasonable exploitative play. 5. Thinking About Hand RangesYes, poker and Holdem specifically isn’t only about draws and +EV calls. Probabilité que l'adversaire se couche après une grosse mise. Let's use the formula to calculate our EV! EV = (0. Outright Profitable Bluffing. You basically add the value of making the bubble to the equity you will have after. The Final Table. Many more concepts are involved like ranges and fold equity that can make the EV calculations much more difficult. Folding a hand with one out on the river doesn’t cost you much, as you probably weren’t going to win anyway. A three-bet is therefore the first reraise (i. Fold equity = 0. As a result, BB needs to overfold significantly on this flop. This hand is from 2NL online, playing four-handed. We generate fold equity preflop; We still have very good equity when called, even if we end up being a small dog; Most players do not punish us anywhere close to enough with 4bets; To illustrate this last point, an expert winning short-handed player will typically have a 4bet range of 4-5%. R/Poker is currently…235K subscribers in the poker community. 00+$0. 5. Before you go all-in with your next semi-bluff, or go all-in preflop with a bluff, use this tool to make sure your play is +EV! Fold Equity. We will lose $500 most of the time but will win $1,000 just often enough to make the call profitable. How is fold equity calculated? There’s a pretty simple formula that will help you. In its simplest poker terms, fold equity is the value gained by you taking aggressive action that could result in your opponent folding their hand. Fold equity is a crucial element of poker strategy that allows you to estimate the probability of your opponent folding their hand. In the next part of this series, we’ll look at the price the big blind is getting against each of these raise sizes in more detail, but quickly: The big blind needs ~20. Again, fish and shitregs have no concept of how to calculate fold equity. While the concept of fold equity applies to all forms of poker, it is much more prevalent in no-limit games where you can determine the size of your bet. Pot equity is worked out using simple math to calculate the chances of winning in a showdown, while fold equity enables players to work out the likelihood of causing an. 234K subscribers in the poker community. How to Use the Poker Odds Calculator. 65 * -$500) = $350 – $325 = $25. We should also look for some bluffs that will play well in a multiway 3-bet pot. But incorporating fold equity into our decision as to whether to raise or call is a concept for another time and another article, so for our purposes (and for many at the tables) our opponent is. ago. You think that A-9, A-7 and A-6 will call, and A-5, A-4 and A-2 will fold. Contra un rango del 10% tienes una equity del 53%. Yes, AK loses some value because you don't have as much post-flop fold equity via image in low stakes games against the rec fish, however, AK is still an awesome hand in the low stakes games and I would argue it is a better hand in the low stakes game vs the higher stake games where you do have more image related fold equity. Preflop Skills. Tip #2: Avoid Slow-Playing Trips or Two-Pair. They will often allow us to bet the turn with high equity when called, even if the opponent has the king instead of the lower. The stat to look for in determining which style to use is the fold the 3-bet stat. . Large bet sizes generate more fold equity, making your bluffs more effective; For example, this hand was played by John C. Folds to BB loose passive who cold 4bets to $50. 5 to win a pot of $75. Huh, so one of Buzzfeed's ex-employee's did follow my advice of learning to code. Forced Bet. Fold equity: Fold equity is simple; your raise tells the other players that you have a strong hand. A key element to this is understanding fold equity and how it works. With this he is balancing the times that he represent strong values. Demonstration of fold equity strategy – A situational example. To get fold equity you have to bet or raise. You will find this means that hole. Then you’ll get their share in the pot, making. Reply243K subscribers in the poker community. Get familiar with the fold equity calculator so you can start finding good spots to play these semi-bluffs aggressively which will ultimately give you. For example, if the pot is $100 and you think there is a 35% chance your opponent folds to a bet, you have 35% fold equity worth $35. As a result you need to tighten up your 3bet range. We Cbet $160. Strip everything away and fold equity is the probability a player will fold to a bet or raise. All of this means a few things, including a lack of immediate fold equity for the button if he continues betting, but an increase in equity for the button's bluffs. A steal is an open raise from the CO, BTN, or SB regardless of hand strength. Learn how to capitalize on that table image in future hands and boom, you’re a 2/5 crusher. Equity dictates you fold, because now you are a 2 to 1 underdog to win the hand, and with having to pay 9,000 to win 16,500, the pot is not offering you 2 to 1 odds. For example, if he limp-folds a decent amount, you can loosen your requirements for iso-raising since you have added fold equity preflop, which allows you to profit with a wider range of hands. 5 * 0. We purposefully use the word “outright” since there are plenty of times in poker where a single bet may be outright +EV or -EV, but in the context. Even if he thinks Rigby is overbluffing it is likely that he is going to have something that has a decent amount of equity vs 3rd pair. a standard opening size of 2. How big of a bet you are facing if applicable. . Download now! Against a 3-Bet. But Linus is an extremely strong player, so this is likely a major mistake by Berri. 25x the big blind. Fold equity is one of the other important poker terms that may be a bit harder to calculate than direct pot odds. If an opposing player folds, you’ll win the pot uncontested. If you’ve got a 1,500 chip starting stack, the 6 max blinds and antes at the 50/100 level could be 210 chips and collecting these adds 14% to your stack. A fold equity calculator is a powerful tool that you can use to see how often your opponent must fold when you are shoving your stack. They have a lot of potential to turn into winning hands, and you benefit from the added fold equity of playing these hands aggressively. His huge fold equity is much more relevant and also why it's a low variance play imo. 5$ I decide to…How much fold equity he has (blocker effects taken into consideration) How much equity he will have against the calling range; How the expected values (EV) compare between calling and raising; Using the power of solvers, we learned that building a non-all-in 3-betting strategy at 15bb effective stack is sub-optimal. Remember that capitalising on fold equity to steal blinds was one of the primary reasons for open-raising. When someone limps before us, our fold equity decreases so it is only natural that the bottom of our stealing range from late position becomes a fold when others have already entered the pot. the second raise) before the flop. It's not massively -EV either. For example, suppose you’ve bet $100 into a pot of $100, giving your opponent 2:1 to call (your opponent has to call $100 to win $200). Fold equity is nothing but the share of the pot that belongs to you, on the basis of the chances of your hand winning. 3 Are folding (0% equity) That means they have roughly ((12*. Fold, chances are someone has at least one of your outs, chances that if you shove at best it is a coin flip (if you are able to isolate only one caller) and at worst your are crushed, also blinds are 1k/2K, if everyone folded to you, you shove, otherwise this is a fold in this particular spot. If he folds more than 38% of the time, this bet is outright +EV. GTOWizard helps you to learn GTO and analyze your game. He said to have equity of R $ 2,9 millions. If he folds less than 38% of the time, the bet is outright -EV. Fold equity is an important and fairly simple concept that can help you to understand when your bluffs might be profitable. Flop :8c :9h :Th ($240) Vs a SB range of 22-JJ, Aqo+, AJs, KQs we have about 35% equity on the flop. Betting does have merit particularly on certain disconnected flops (such as K-7-5) because you will generate a lot of fold equity even with a small bet. 5. R/Poker is currently in…I don’t think so. 80 Pot Limit Omaha Hi Tournament - t1250/t2500 Blinds - 6 players - View hand 1816291 The Reddit Poker Converter - Poker Videos by DeucesCracked. There are many times when folding is actually the best option with these draws. Throw in that sweet sweet fold equity and it’s not so tragic. Analyze the results. Rarely, if ever, is a thinking player going to call with a worse hand. While Equity Trust is a popular choice for gold IRAs, if you want to choose a different custodian you’re out of luck at Silver Gold Bull. The balance between collecting on fold equity and equity realization is a constant struggle for good players and something you will need to actively work on. We extract value when the 3-bettor calls the 4-bet with weaker hands. The difference is that rather than considering our pot-equity to obtain values of P (winning) and P (losing) we will consider our fold-equity. 239K subscribers in the poker community. Fold Equity. Our entire goal is to help you play smarter poker every step of the way. Know Your Pot Odds. Fold equity is a concept in poker strategy that is especially important when a player becomes short-stacked in a no limit (or possibly pot limit) tournament. The dealer flicks the cards around the table. The Double Zone. If I was out of position, it would be impossible navigate the river as I would not. This is a testament to how much fold equity can be leveraged on certain boards with a small bet and a range advantage. So we check with the intention of seeing a. Inevitably, opponents would have folded hands with better raw equity. Hero has a 10BB stack. I would focus my bluffs on players that fold on the flop a lot, and keep value 3b for everyone as next to no fold equity pre. So, if your fold equity is 80% and your opponents are 20%, you can raise bets and get them to fold. Yet there is surprisingly little poker theory written about how to win satellite tournaments, until now. Although solver outputs can look quite different with shallower stacks, the same principles apply: strong hands grow the pot 📈 medium strength hands pot control, weak hands bluff or give up, and draws navigate between fold equity and equity realization. Hero raises to 11bb. Hero bets 12BB, BB folds. The check-raises happen just over 10% of the time with strong top pair and sets for value. Suited aces will have slightly less equity if called, but can be used to extend your bluffing range if your opponent is expected to fold with a high enough frequency. The bulk of your equity in the pot is no longer fold equity because you have a pair. Or it could be that he is saving all his fold equity for the big river bluff he wants to get through. We see BB calls 42% of the time with pretty much anything in the range that has flopped some sort of equity, and folding 48% of the time with the complete misses. Even some of the basic information in an educational poker program is helpful, such as the ability to see chip stacks in big blinds instead of larger numbers. Business, Economics, and Finance. 251 votes, 71 comments. CO folds. 0. This is something many poker. Fold equity is one of the other important poker terms that may be a bit harder to calculate than direct pot odds. particularly because it can get 33 to fold and it doesn't matter to fold equity if 33 can or not. Nl10 zoom 6max 120bb effective UTG opens, I 3bet TT from SB, he calls Flop 9d8s2s, I bet 1. If you are looking for a free poker equity calculator, launch the PokerNews one and use it to recreate any scenarios you lived at the. So we check with the intention of seeing a showdown. We have a flush draw with 9 outs. Sauce's Guide to Beating NLH 6max This is really a nod to the beautiful simplicity that was IlikeAces guide. 241K subscribers in the poker community. We calculate this a little differently than poker equity, factoring in the likelihood that the. 2. First in with this size stack you're too short to raise and then fold, but too deep to risk your whole stack on poor holdings. It’s built to avoid what SplitSuit calls “FPS”, or fancy play syndrome. Cast & Crew. Well, equity refers to the share of the pot that belongs to you based on the percentage chance you have to win a hand at any given point. It can be expressed as: Fold Equity = (Likelihood Opponent Folds) x (Gain in Equity if Opponent(s) Fold) To effectively use the equation, you must understand both parts. $250 effective. In a simple 2bet pot here, with few callers, it is not +EV to shove this hand. Kelli Williams. This is compounded by the fact that they are playing 1500 blinds deep. Folding a hand like J-9 should not be automatic because, even with a modest equity of 30%, the cumulative chances of winning the blinds uncontested and the chance of winning the hand despite being. Flop: 8♦ K♣ 2♦. 5014. Evaluating Board Texture. This makes stealing the blinds and antes sitting in the pot very valuable, and this is the perfect time to make full use of fold equity. Seen it reversed at the Cascade Casino in Langley BC, Canada. But this is a topic for another article. Alpha – refers to how often the villain needs to fold for you to break even with a 0% equity bluff. When in position, tend to take the free card since you have no fold equity anyway. For this example, we will assume that Villain 3-bets 50% of the time with orange/red hands, and folds all the pink hands. If the 4bs are as nitty as you claim they are, I don't think Villains are going to 4b/f often enough with QQ/AK to justify. You're maximizing fold equity, and commiting to a flip where you have a decent chance of scooping with AK. e. So whereas the ultimate test for Go is defeating the top Go champions in the world, because Go is a supremely balanced game, I think the ultimate test for no-limit poker. If our opponent is folding 50% of the time P (winning) = 50% or 0. We purposefully use the word “outright” since there are plenty of times in poker where a single bet may be outright +EV or -EV, but in the context. 6,7,J rainbow. Probabilité que l'adversaire se couche après une grosse mise. With the stack of 40 big blinds, for example, you have a lot of fold equity, but the risk-reward ratio is often not correct. If he folds less than 38% of the time, the bet is outright -EV. There is also little fear of folding equity incorrectly in a hand, since most aggressive action is an indication of superior strength. The difference is that rather than considering our pot-equity to obtain values of P(winning) and P(losing) we will consider our fold-equity. e. These boards tend to have a high top card, like and ace or a king. Anyway, the article provides some solid advice, but I think for beginners there are a bunch of. 7% (16/35). Fold Equity. This is something that BlackRain79 discusses in much. The P (losing) must then equal 100% - 50% = 50% or 0. Plus, A5s plays fine post-flop. Let Pot be the pot before hero makes a bet of Bet with equity Eq. No problem, you can make these yourself using free pio. Thinking About Hand Ranges Yes, poker and Holdem specifically isn’t only about draws and +EV calls. can't get away with this unless I just fold preflop. Stick to very premium hands in early position -- throw away AQ offsuit and KQ suited under the gun, and stay away from the smaller pairs. This means if villain will fold 38% of the time, this bet is breakeven. Fold equity is a concept in poker strategy that is especially important when a player becomes short-stacked in a no limit (or possibly pot limit) tournament. Veering away from bluffs and complex lines. In this example, you have $14,000 in negative equity because you owe your lender $14,000 more than your home is worth. Fold equity is the value of the pot based on persuading an opponent to fold. $33 buy - in, $50K GTD, towards the end of a 4 HR reg period, avg stack of 75K chips I believe, here is the hand: Stacks:UTG - UTG (T128,932)UTG+1…Red Chip Poker. If V is folding, say, 40% of his opening range to a 3-bet, that fold equity doesn't change if you 3-bet 64s, 87o, or A2s. La fold equity entre en ligne de compte dans le calcul d' EV d'une mise ou d'une relance. 11-15 Big Blinds. 5-3x and jam/bet turn. You can consider putting in a small bluff raise on the flop against an aggressive opponent with a range wider than 10%. This causes us to simultaneously realize more equity and deny our opponents’ hands equity. 85 votes, 85 comments. We don't have sufficient overall fold equity for a continuation bet bluff to be immediately profitable. For example, I’d still bet on a very disconnected flop like . 67. Let’s plug that into the MDF formula: $75 / ($75 + $37. If your opponent is playing an overly capped limping range that is not calling often enough then you want to raise these holdings smaller and add more suited cards to the bluff side of this. Biggest poker site with industry-leading software and a huge range of games GT Bonuses. Fold equity is an important and fairly simple concept that can help you to understand when your bluffs might be profitable. 8-to-1 underdog, meaning calling is a losing play. 3409 x $252 = $85. The year: 1855. What Does Fold Equity Mean? The profitability of any bet is determined by combining your calculated fold equity with your pot equity (the percentage likelihood of winning the pot with your hand at that moment. 10bb Push/Fold Charts. He said to have equity of R $ 2,9 millions. Try it for free at solutions • Practice GTO • Analyze hand history Timecod. I’m guaranteed shoving any A, any pair, possibly even any broadways if I’ve felt like he’s been overly. When you have very little fold equity (i. CryptoIf you've fallen to the lower end and closer to 15 big blinds, it's time to start thing about adopting the shove-or-fold strategy discussed prior, but still look for good spots to three-bet shove. And maybe, when you really work out the range for a called 3-bet, check call. Insane Habit Getting in the Way: You don't think about what bet size will maximize your value or maximize your fold equity. If he played it normally, opened to 2m and saw a flop, he wouldn't have been eliminated on the run out. Let's use the formula to calculate our EV! EV = (0. Your estimated equity when villain calls your shove. The most common place for a straddle to happen is to the left of the big blind and is often double the size of the big blind. 3. ago. That combined with some added fold equity makes AQo a good candidate for a bluff squeeze. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. However, your original loan that you took when home prices were higher is still in place, and you owe your lender $134,000. This typically results in more aggressive play near the money and final table bubble in order to maximize pressure on our opponents. This is really where the separation between poor and competent players begins. UTG raises to 3bb. This is especially true when you are in position. This will help you determine the frequency you should bluff. Draw conclusions. Next, we'll often miss the flop and have the decision of whether we want to c-bet or not. 4. The fold equity equation is a simple calculation that involves two main components: the likelihood your opponent folds and the potential gain in equity if they do. opponents, hands like 10s, Js or Qs (even badly-played Ks) that don't 4-bet pre-flop. Mostly. ) And we put ourselves into a tricky situation if the villain shoves on us. When a player opens preflop and you raise them, you have actually three-bet them. When the blinds/antes are a big portion of your stack, you’ve got to do all you can to collect them. Here’s how a hand of Ultimate Texas Hold’em works: Each player makes the two mandatory opening bets - an "ante" bet and a "blinds" bet. This is especially true when you have position on your opponent. A-Q with the Qc or A-K with the Kc will raise and make it two bets. Watch Fold Equity with a subscription on Hulu, or buy it on Apple TV, Vudu, Amazon Prime Video. Using a larger size thus has two benefits: A large bet allows you to get as much value as possible with our strong hands; Large bets make your bluffs more effective by worsening your opponent’s pot odds, thus generating more fold equity. Fold face up because "too many outs" to ever get there. 12% equity when you jam. If your range consisted of 30. There is also an optional "Trips" bet players can choose before the deal. The minimum defense frequency is 67% in this spot. With $100 in the effective stack and $100 in the pot, the SPR was $100/$100 = 1. or just $240 (the pot) Smaller bet sizes on wet boards are ineffective, as they let your opponent(s) realize their equity too easily. If you watched a lot of poker on TV during the poker boom, you would have heard the word “reraise” a lot in the commentary (and even from the players themselves when. 14 BBsWe fold out equity from worse hands at the lower end of the 3-bettor’s range. Opponents who stray from this range can be exploited. Fold Equity takes the “equity” concept a step further and refers to the amount of equity a player gains in the hand from betting or raising and making their opponent fold. 00 Poker Stars $8. CryptoFold equity refers to the value that a hand has simply by betting or raising such that all opposing hands, including better hands, may fold. SB calls and all else fold and we go to the flop HU. Let's use the formula to calculate our EV! EV = (0. That's not guaranteed at all. The fact we can win a pot without having the best hand is a central feature of the game. Winning hyper turbos requires a strong understanding of hand ranges most of the strategy consists of shove/fold. Position is a really big deal in poker. 에퀴티 (Equity) 현재 팟에서 자신의 수학적 기대값으로, 팟에 있는 금액에 자신의 이길 확률을 곱하여 계산합니다. 有時候自己的牌實際價值不高，但能逼別人蓋牌來得到池裡面的籌碼. For example, if there’s a 33 percent chance your opponent will fold to a bet in a $100 pot, you have 33%. 4% raw equity to call against a min. These can help with everything from basic pot odds to bluff equity and fold equity. Consider these alongside our positional advantage and it becomes clear why AK is a favorable hand to 4-bet with. Our turn decision depends on the type of player we are facing. Knowing how to read the board and analyze what possible hands can be out there is the. R/Poker is currently in Blackout Mode due to…119 votes, 28 comments. You open raise from the button with J♥ 9♥ and a tight-aggressive player 3bets from the big blind.